The browser you are using is not supported by this website. All versions of Internet Explorer are no longer supported, either by us or Microsoft (read more here: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/windows/end-of-ie-support).

Please use a modern browser to fully experience our website, such as the newest versions of Edge, Chrome, Firefox or Safari etc.

Presentations by the CMU branch of VBE

Two papers by Alex, Baruch and the VBE associated researchers at CMU have been presented lately. One at the Annual Meeting of the Society of Mecical Decision Making, in Vancouver, and one at the Annual Meeting of the Society for General Internal Medicine.

The papers presented were:


Davis, A., Krishnamurti, T., Fischhoff, B., Grace, J., Klobuka, A., Yecies, E., Arnold, J., Mohan, D., Hanmer, J. Base rates and extensional reasoning in decompensation risk assessments: a longitudinal cohort study. (contributed). 2016 Annual Meeting of the Society of Medical Decision-Making SMDM 2016
Annual Meeting. October 24, Vancouver, BC.


This is a paper about physician use of probabilities to assess decompensation risk on the general internal medicine ward.

Arnold, J., Davis, A., Fischhoff, B., Grace, J., Klobuka, A., Yecies, E., Mohan, D., Hanmer, J. Human vs. automated prediction of clinical deterioration: results From the understanding physician signout risk perceptions (UPS) study (contributed). 39th Annual Meeting of the Society for General Internal Medicine. May 11-14, Hollywood, FL.


The paper compares physician and statistical prediction of clinical decompensation among general internal medicine inpatients