The papers presented were:
Davis, A., Krishnamurti, T., Fischhoff, B., Grace, J., Klobuka, A., Yecies, E., Arnold, J., Mohan, D., Hanmer, J. Base rates and extensional reasoning in decompensation risk assessments: a longitudinal cohort study. (contributed). 2016 Annual Meeting of the Society of Medical Decision-Making SMDM 2016
Annual Meeting. October 24, Vancouver, BC.
This is a paper about physician use of probabilities to assess decompensation risk on the general internal medicine ward.
Arnold, J., Davis, A., Fischhoff, B., Grace, J., Klobuka, A., Yecies, E., Mohan, D., Hanmer, J. Human vs. automated prediction of clinical deterioration: results From the understanding physician signout risk perceptions (UPS) study (contributed). 39th Annual Meeting of the Society for General Internal Medicine. May 11-14, Hollywood, FL.
The paper compares physician and statistical prediction of clinical decompensation among general internal medicine inpatients